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( 60) Rocket Can 11. Jerardi: Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures TOP BEYER SPEED FIGURES 1993-2018 2-year-olds, 1993 2-year-olds, 1996 Beyer Beyer No. Also, Derma Sotogakes UAE figure would be higher than the Beyer for the older Ushba Tesoras victory on the same card in the second-richest horse race in the world, the $12 million Dubai World Cup. KENTUCKY DERBY POINT STANDINGS With all the races offering qualifying points now completed, the prospective field for the Kentucky Derby has taken shape. And Bolt dOro faded badly in his last start (his first against older foes) the Met Mile. Has a filly ever won the preakness? - sempoa.jodymaroni.com 342 Forte (29) 2. Real-time updates and all local stories you want right in the palm of your hand. A run to the Triple Crown, plus the $5 million Classic, pushed Baffert and jockey Victor Espinoza past some notable names in their own professions. Since the figures began being published in 1991, seven Kentucky Derby winners had the best Beyer among all Derby entrants in their last-outs, i.e. His 1:32 1/5 clocking shaved two-fifths of a second off the world record for one mile set by Buckpasser two years earlier at Arlington. In nearly every Kentucky Derby prep race, last years winning Beyer figure beat this years Beyer figure. American Pharoah, February 2 California Chrome, February 18 Orb, February 24 I'll Have Another, April 1 Animal Kingdom, March 20 Super Saver, March 18 . Future Hall of Famer Dr. Fager won the Californian by an easy three lengths, according to Heberts story. I interviewed Baeza in 2006 at Santa Anita. ; of $15,000 since May 9, 1967, 15 lbs. They also incorporate how fast a track is playing that particular day by comparing performances and times under the same conditions. By comparison, American Pharoah earned Beyers of 105 for his wins in the Arkansas Derby and the Kentucky Derby. The single-session sale, which grossed $6.7 million, recorded across-the-board increases over 2022. Michael is a pharmacist by profession, author of Masten Gregory: Totally Fearless as well as a horse racing blog that can be found at: www.thederbyhandicapper.com. This gives an indication how good the horse was on that day. He has won at 1 1/16 miles and at 5 1/2 furlongs in Saratoga, so he should be OK.. (Look for the abbreviation "Tr:" on the form to find a trainer's statistics.). 2023 www.courier-journal.com. (100) Derma Sotogake 8. colts and geldings carry 126 pounds (57 kg); fillies 121 pounds (55 kg) . These figures may also be part of the reason pedigree being another undefeated Nyquist probably wont be a prohibitive favorite Saturday. The comments on the far right also can provide insight into how the horse performed that day. This suggests that he might not be first or second with a furlong left to run in the Kentucky Derby. I will state up front that Justify has much more to accomplish to elevate himself above American Pharoah. 2020 American Pharoah Stakes Field and Odds | OFF TRACK BETTING Because of the neck margin, both Tapit Trice and Verifying earned a 99 Beyer Speed Figure, according to Daily Racing Form. 171 Clairiere 6. Based at Keeneland, Ward owns a farm next to the track where he privately stands Hootenanny, winner of the 2014 Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot in England and Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf (G1T). paid $240,000 for Ocean City, a 3-year-old colt by American Pharoah , who is a half brother to champion Jackie's Warrior and on April 20 at Keeneland scored a 1 1/4-length . In a tremendous demonstration of weight-carrying ability that year, he never -- I repeat never -- raced with less than 130 pounds. 68 Mage 10. $1,000 Sports Betting Offer + $25 . This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no American Pharoah wins Haskell Stakes (photo via Monmouth Park). additional, Non-winners of $50,000 twice since December 25, 1967 allowed 3 lbs. Since Justify did not race as a 2-year-old, we really need to focus on their 3-year-old campaigns and, more specifically, their Grade 1 stakes races. sort by # sire name Stud Fee $ 90+. He was a little bit hard to control. American Pharoah: 2015: 120: Commentator: 2008: 120: Bellamy . Dr. Fager was going to have to carry 130. Benoit told me that he was given the unenviable task of having to call Nerud to tell him that Dr. Fager would be carrying 130 pounds instead of 124. When it comes to the 142nd running of the Kentucky Derby, this years field has a major case of the slows. The BRIS figures are mostly automated, while Beyer Speed Figures rely on human input and judgment calls. Promiseher America 'perfect' in final breeze for G1 Kentucky Oaks (With a racing age sale) you get to see them run, see how they perform on the track and see them afterwards. But it also took American Pharoah only 11 races to do so. 6 1/2F. Sunday's Cross Country Pick 5 Includes Racing From Aqueduct, Oaklawn If it fits, well take a shot in there, Handal said. Beyer Speed Figures - What are they? - Bet Thoroughbreds Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. Hoffman Thoroughbreds and Tom McCrocklins Promiseher America recorded her final serious piece of work in preparation for the Grade 1, $1.25 million Kentucky Oaks on May 6 at Churchill Downs, when going a half-mile in 49.77 seconds over a fast Belmont Park training track. He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. By running strongly at the same point in the Kentucky Derby, a horse would be in a prime position to win the roses. Kingsbarns 3. DIST. Justify (horse) - Wikipedia Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. She went 50 and four and had a nice strong gallop out. Winners of $65,000 twice since September 1, 1967 to carry 3 lbs. Which horses are quick out of the gate? Last year, Yes and Yes won three allowance races over the Belmont turf before earning his first graded placing when third in the Grade 3 Belmont Turf Sprint in October over the Aqueduct lawn. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. IN THREE STARTS IN 2022: 1st King T. Leatherbury S. off a 13-month lay-off 2nd Saratoga' Troy S.-G3 (100 Beyer), by a head to 2021 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint-G1 winner GOLDEN PAL 3rd Jaipur S.-G1 (101 Beyer), a length to three-time G1 SW CASA CREED By KODIAC Perennial Leading 2-Year-Old Sire and son of the Legendary DANEHILL Champion European . I mean, I saw my horse loop 13 horses and gallop under the wire with his ears pricked. Or call toll-free 1-877-8-HOPE-NY. Next, he dropped to a 102 BSF when he won the Tampa Bay Derby by a nose in his first start at 3. ; of $30,000 since December 25, 1966, $13,000 twice since May 9, 1967 or $13,000 since April 8, 1968, 12 lbs. Justify vs. American Pharoah: Who's Better? | Horse Racing News Handal said the Vagrancys 6 1/2-furlong distance is ideal for the New York-bred daughter of Overanalyze as opposed to stretching out for the Ruffian. The strikes for the current Kentucky Derby candidates are listed below: ZERO STRIKES Angel of Empire Derma Sotogake Hit Show Major Dude Practical Move Tapit Trice ONE STRIKE Confidence Game (Category 5) Forte (Category 3) Kingsbarns (Category 7) Lord Miles (Category 3) Raise Cain (Category 5) Reincarnate (Category 4) Rocket Can (Category 5) Two Phils (Category 4) Wild On Ice (Category 8) TWO STRIKES Blazing Sevens (Categories 3 and 6) Cyclone Mischief (Categories 2 and 4) Disarm (Categories 2 and 3) Jaces Road (Categories 2 and 4) Mandarin Hero (Categories 1 and 2) Skinner (Categories 2 and 3) Sun Thunder (Categories 2 and 3) Verifying (Categories 2 and 4) THREE STRIKES Continuar (Categories 2, 3 and 4) King Russell (Categories 1, 2 and 3) Mage (Categories 2, 4 and 7) WINNERS STRIKES GOING BACK TO 1973 Because stakes races in this country were not graded until 1973, I cant go further back than that year when calculating the number of strikes for Kentucky Derby winners. Commissioner Dan Goes for $500K to Top Keeneland Sale If you look at his racing trend he is due for another big 100-plus Beyer, a speed figure that indicates he could be tough to beat. It was more of a thank you for Keeneland for all these years of being kind to me.. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. His speed was very deceiving because he had such a smooth stride. Dr. Fagers lone defeat in 1968 came when he packed 135 pounds and spotted five pounds to familiar foe Damascus in the 1 1/4-mile Brooklyn Handicap. In those years, the conditions for the 1 1/8-mile Californian were extremely complicated. A native of Central Kentucky and a 1981 graduate of the University of Kentucky, John Clay is an award-winning blogger who covered UK football for 13 seasons before being promoted to columnist in 2000. I think we will be fortunate to see him race two more times before he is retired. It's Post time by Jon White: A Hypothetical Race: The Last 11 Breeders His highest weight that year and in his career was the 139 pounds he carried to a six-length victory in the seven-furlong Vosburgh Handicap, which was his final start. Keeneland reported 67 horses sold for $6,743,000, a 26.06% increase from the $5,349,000 in 2022 when 58 horses sold. Everything you need to know about placing an online bet, Here's your complete guide to the 2023 race, Who has won the most Kentucky Derby races and other facts you should know, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. They are listed below: Beyer Horse (Finish, Race) 101 Two Phils (1st, Jeff Ruby) 100 Practical Move (1st, Santa Anita Derby) 100 Practical Move (1st, San Felipe) 100 Mandarin Hero (2nd, Santa Anita Derby) There were no official Beyers for the UAE Derby. 90 Two Phils 8. A win in the Travers Stakes, something American Pharoah did not accomplish, would be nice as well. Privacy Policy | The conditions for the 1968 Californian stated the following: 3-year-olds 113 lbs. But then I remembered just what a fantastic race Zenyatta ran to win her BC Classic. I was looking for 49, 1:01 and four and a 1:15 or 16 gallop out and she did it perfectly. Maybe well have a horse for the Saudi Cup next year. The effort was awarded an 87 Beyer Speed Figure. 7. This colt has been second to Cave Rock in the grade 1 American Pharoah and third to Forte and Cave Rock in the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile. I think its the marriage of both the TACTICAL with the HISTORICAL that makes the Derby Strikes System better than any single Derby rule. A number of the categories in the Derby Strikes System are tied to a Kentucky Derby being run on the first Saturday in May. Talladega, a 3-year-old colt by Into Mischief, who defeated older horses in an Oaklawn Park allowance race on April 8 by 2 3/4 lengths, sold to Ahmad Alabdllatif for $320,000. Out of Searchingforahero, by Officer, Hibernacle won her debut for trainer Wesley Ward, who also bred and owned her. (This year that would be Exaggerator.). Justify's main competition has really come from two colts: Bolt d'Oro and Good Magic. A lot of the races (this year) were run on off tracks, so that might take away from it a little bit, said Bob Baffert, who trained American Pharoah and Dortmund last year and has Mor Spirit this year. For KAS Stables, Lanz was the sales leading buyer with three purchases for a total of $930,000. Damascus won by 2 1/2 lengths. American Pharoah Cements Status as All-Time Great with Breeders' Cup Consigned by ELiTE, agent, Carmel Road is out of the stakes-winning Unbridleds Song mare Inspired and a half-brother to stakes-placed Night Time Lady. He became the first and still only American racehorse to be voted four titles in a single season. Out of the winning Yes It's True mare Thin Disguise, he is a half brother to grade 3 winner Holiday Disguise, stakes winner Midnight Disguise and grade 1-placed Forest Caraway. The Elusive Quality will be the first time Thin White Duke has raced at seven furlongs since May 2021, while Yes and Yes will contest at that distance for the first time since a win in a June optional claimer at Belmont. The client liked him. Thats if you go by the Beyer Speed Figures, the calculations put forth by the writer, longtime horse player and numbers savant Andrew Beyer published by the Daily Racing Form. It is tough to pull off a Triple Crown championship. Bob Baffert's highly regarded Spielberg, a gutty runner-up in two summertime starts, looms the horse to beat in Saturday's Grade I, $300,000 American Pharoah Stakes at Santa Anita Park.For 2-year-olds at a mile and one sixteenth, the American Pharoah has attracted a field of eight. Skinner 8. dr katie columbus zoo. 261 Practical Move (1) 4. THE LUMBER GUY SA 6 11/03/2012 107 GOLDEN HORN KEE 12 10/31/2015 106 TRINNIBERG BEL 7 06/09/2012 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah recorded the highest Beyer 106 WELL SPELLED PRX 6 . Ethics | During this period, the only horses to finish second or third in the Kentucky Derby without having raced at 2 were Hampden, who finished third in 1946; Coaltown, second in 1948; Agitate, third in 1974; Reinvested, third in 1982; Strodes Creek, second in 1994; Curlin, third in 2007; Bodemeister, second in 2012; and Battle of Midway, third in 2017.) The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). It begins with the date, listed in day-month-year format. Since making their published debut in 1991, Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse's performance to another. Bred by Hibiscus Stables, Funny How is a half-sister to multiple New York-bred stakes winner Funny Guy. For my birthday, I gave my mom to friends. Preakness Stakes Contender Speed Figures | All Horse Racing I wondered, Has any Kentucky Derby winner during the Beyer Speed Figure era had a declining pattern in his final three starts prior to the Run for the Roses, a la Forte? The Beyer Speed Figures were first published in Daily Racing Forms Kentucky Derby past performances in 1992. Flightline (horse) - Wikipedia But that's what I'm about to [] But the stewards disqualified Maximum Security and placed him 17th for committing a foul when he veered out sharply nearing the five-sixteenths marker to cause interference to War of Will, Bodexpress and Long Range Toddy. Carmel Road, who sold for $260,000 to Pedro Lanz, agent for KAS Stables, was runner-upin the Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) to Practical Move, second on the list of leading point earners to the May 6Kentucky Derby (G1). For context: The highest BSF since he created the system was a 133 by Groovy in 1987. Knicks Go (ur. Hunter Valley Farm, agent, consigned Hibernacle, who is entered to race in the $200,000 Kentucky Juvenile Stakes May 4 at Churchill Downs. By this I mean, a Triple Crown championship plus wins in the Breeders Cup Classic and the Pegasus World Cup the latter two races having North Americas largest purses. All information provided by this This was what he had to say about Dr. Fager: He was a great horse, a very competitive horse. I dont need somebody doing a mathematical formula telling me he ran well.. Study the splits generally measured in quarter-mile increments but sometimes starting at a half mile depending on the length of the race after that. Horse Track Dist Date No. It just depends on which ones you look at, Romans said. He has produced. And to win this years Kentucky Derby, you dont have to be the fastest horse in the history of the race. He matched that 100 figure when he eked out a nose victory in the Grade I Santa Anita Derby at 1 1/8 miles. The eight categories are listed further below in this blog. Handal also spoke of Adelphi Racing Club and Cutair RacingsFunny How, who breezed a half-mile in 49.33 over the training track in preparation for a possible start in the Grade 3, $175,000 Vagrancy on May 14 at Belmont. ; of $75,000 once or $30,000 twice since December 25, 1966, 9 lbs. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. History shows that a horse with zero strikes or only one strike has a much better chance to win the Kentucky Derby than a horse with two strikes or more. They are Reincarnate and Kingsbarns. ( 50) Wild On Ice 16. For context: The highest BSF since he created the system . This is a sale that is perfectly positioned on the calendar, immediately after the end of our Spring Meet and just before the Kentucky Derby, Keeneland vice president of sales Tony Lacy said.