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Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. BMW Championship odds, expert picks, sleepers: Justin Thomas, Sam Burns Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. Stars are everywhere on the leaderboard heading into the weekend at Bay Hill. 1. Note: prices listed below available at a major U.S. sportsbooks as of writing Monday evening. 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Will Zalatoris ($8,900) - Never thought Id be able to write up Will Zalatoris as a pivot option. 2nd Chance Bet up to $500. Check out McNichol's five favorite longshot bets this week below. Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a reason -- but each possess considerable upside and some have even raised a major championship trophy in the past. Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. Speaking of 2012, that's the last time we were back here when Rory McIlroy destroyed the competition. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday (May 20th) at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, in South Carolina Xander Schauffele has finished 6th or better seven times in his 15 Major starts Read below for analysis of the event and our favorite sleepers and longshot plays Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Michigan State Spartans OSU Buckeyes Odds. Yang stunned the world with his come-from-behind victory over Tiger Woods at Hazeltine National in 2009, and he is not alone when it comes to those who have emerged from obscurity. Harry Higgs has not had anywhere close to the success that Max Homa has found on TOUR, especially this year. 1 Scottie Scheffler. This. Defending champion Phil Mickelson isnt playing this week. The Twitter handle is a joke. Sleeper pick: Robert MacIntyre, +15,000. PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament Vikas Chokshi, BetQL.com 6 min read It's Major week, and the highly anticipated PGA Championship is finally here! Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy are among the top golfers expected to have success at Southern Hills CC, but here are three sleepers who could be making even louder noises there. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. His form in 2021 has also been inconsistent, but he finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer and 14th at Wells Fargo, so he has it in him to be in contention. Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. Hes also been a fairly reliable player in the majors, missing just one cut in five career starts. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island lives up to its name with, you guessed it, a lot of water. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Sleepers and Pivots - PGA Championship Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. There's no place like home, and K.H. Many notable contenders are in peak form right now and leading the charge in the PGA standings. Its just that the bookmakers dont over at BetMGM, Champs well down the board, at 150-1 to win. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. If you are stacking an AM/PM tee time this week, it could also be advantageous to make PM/AM stacks as well. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks and Predictions He ranks just 87th in one-putting, but he should be a steady performer this week. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. This season, despite only one stroke play top 10 on U.S. soil, Scott has been playing like a potential tournament winner. To have a really good day, players will need to do that and sink some puts on the greens, which may play slower than those at other majors. That makes his +275 odds to log a top-10 finish look pretty appetizing. . At low ownership and price, Lee could be a great GPP option. To-win: Will Zalatoris, +3,300. Now lets dig into some longshots.. While there is a gulf of differences between the skills and mindset needed to win a major title and winning at your average PGA TOUR stop, Homas game should fit both on paper. Bradley doesn't excel in any of the four key categories we're looking at for this week's tournament, but he ranks top-36 in SG:APR, SG:OTT and scrambling from the rough. With all the talent in the field, it can be difficult to make lineups and player pools. Matthew Wolff hasnt exactly had the trajectory that we anticipated. You can go out and hit 18 greens and two-putt each one and shoot 70 and be disappointed because you feel like you shouldve shot 64.. PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. Stellar short games will be a must, and few players are better around the greens than Berger. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. Fleetwood has quietly put together a nice 2022. They each have +400 odds for a top-10 finish and would be great DFS fillers in the sub-$9,000 salary range. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. Hes relaxed: Champ rehabbed on a farm, and Ill let him explain the vibe, which he also shared at the Mexico Open. These are decent odds for the best player in the world without a major, a mantle he wont have for long. The biggest reason I am sprinkling on Fleetwood this week is his success on coastal- and links-style courses. He is a seasoned veteran who has four top-five finishes in majors, including the playoff loss to Zach Johnson at the 2015 Open at The Old Course. But recently, it seems he has turned the corner, especially when it comes to his mental game. Sure, this season has been all about Scottie Scheffler, but these odds are too good to pass up for a player experiencing a similar meteoric rise this season. 2023 Masters picks, odds, field: Surprising PGA predictions from top You can too! MORE: Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022. 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best In his first PGA Championship in 2020, Schaeffler finished fourth with a score of -10 (eighth in 2021). PGA Tour: 6 Rising Stars to Watch in 2023 | Men's Journal So, golfers won't get stuck as often as they used to with errant tee shots. The SportsLine model is engineered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. Over those 12 rounds, hes shot over par just once a three-over 75 during the second round at Augusta. Lee must be thinking about packing up his family and moving to Dallas full time. He's also coming into this event off of a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson, so you know he's in great form. Phil Mickelsonis not in the field for the first time since 1992. Why is this? PGA Championship Picks 2022: Favorites, Values and Longshots | SBR This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. Noren thrives on and around the greens, but his ball-striking numbers are finally starting to follow suit. He will win a major, and likely soon. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. PGA Championship 2022: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Southern To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. No, he is not a tout. Jon Rahm was sort of MIA early in 2022, but a win in his latest start is encouraging. Fifty-four holes, no cut, that's an easy life" -- Padraig Harrington. The combination of course familiarity and recent play would make Scott a potent threat if his putter gets extra hot this week. Southern Hills is arather long course. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. PGA Championship Fantasy Predictions & Expert Golf Picks Still, Hovland is plenty good enough in that category he ranks 28th to have a quality outing in this major. He wants the throne back, and a win at Southern Hills, Scotties favorite course, will remind everyone that Rahm is still golfs best player. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. Min Woo Lee ($6,700) - When Min Woo Lee begin playing events on the PGA Tour he brought some hype. The 30-year-old Englishmen has underperformed this year for how well he has played. Southern Hills bears little resemblance to last years PGA Championship venue at Kiawah, but if the wind blows as expected in Tulsa this week, Higgs might be able to squeak his way up the leaderboard playing a similar style as his T4 finish at the Ocean Course. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. ET. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? The same can be said of Young. There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. Once you get past the favorites, these PGA Championship dark horse picks have long odds but a real sleeper chance to win at Southern Hills. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? I couldnt touch a club for eight, 10 weeks, 10, 11 weeks, and even at that, it took a little longer for me for the process. Who will disappoint? Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. Justly so, as he's playing terrific golf, finishing third in each of his past two events. Don't have an account? The career grand slam has never culminated at the PGA Championship, and I think if anyone can make history at Southern Hills, itll be Spieth assuming he putts well. Fantasy Baseball 2023 Shortstop Preview: Top-20 rankings, sleepers and SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. Dodgers The Early Favorites For Shohei Ohtani? In order to score well at Southern Hills,. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Bezuidenhout is another player who excels in windy conditions. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. In fact, the other eight players who fit that criteria are all among the favorites this week and cant be found higher than roughly 25-1. Good iron players with good hands and (hopefully!) His putter, considered a liability in the wake of the anchoring ban, is now a weapon. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. He has made the cut in all eight majors that he has played, including three top-12 finishes. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done picks, sleepers, purse Rahm is fresh off a win at the Mexico Open and has logged a top-13 finish in three of his last four appearances at the PGA Championship. Sleeper pick: Matthew Wolff +12,500. There also aren't as many trees narrowing angles to the fairway and hole. Wins at the U.S. Open (Merion) and Colonial were contested on courses that feature Maxwells fingerprints. BMW Championship picks 2022: The longshot our experts love at Here's everything you need to know to bet on the 2022 PGA Championship, including the latest tournament odds and best bets for the event. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. K.H. The 2022 PGA Championship at Southern Hills is just a few days from getting underway. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Woods is set to participate in the event this year; he missed it in 2021 while recovering from injuries sustained in a Feb. 23 car crash earlier that year. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. However, since then, his best finish is a T-37 in 2020, so he will be looking for a bounce-back performance this year. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO). Hes not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but hes also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. Getting one of the best ball strikers on tour, who is familiar with the course, under 10% owned may just be too lucrative to pass up. He has made the cut in each of his eight tournaments since then, culminating in last week's T5 finish, which was his best career PGA TOUR . (And if youre looking to place any of these bets yourself, we teamed with BetMGM, and the online sports book is offering a new promotion: Make a risk-free bet up to $1,000. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. Young isnt a flash in the pan either. Tommy Fleetwood plays from the 13th tee during the first round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans golf tournament. Lets dig in and find some winners! He has five titles to his name, one more than Tiger Woods' four. The PGA Championship is set for May 20-23 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina. So, why no love for Homa from the bookmakers? Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. Hes long enough, accurate enough and consistent enough. With the wind, Southern Hills should play difficult. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a. 1 golfer ranks first in "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 50 rounds on Dye courses. 2021 PGA Championship Sleepers and Longshot Picks - Sports Betting Dime Moneyline (ML): SE Missouri State -135 (bet $135 to win $110) | Tennessee Tech +105 (bet $100 to win $105) Against the spread: SE Missouri State -2.5 (+100) | Tennessee Tech +2.5 (-120) The PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Odds, betting favorites, expert picks & more to know, Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event, Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title, Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022, How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. The 25-year-old has never played in the PGA Championship nor has he made a cut at a major, but he has the tools needed to make noise this week. We have about 30 acres right now. Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. In a Lone Star showdown, Spieth takes home the Wanamaker to complete the grand slam. DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks for The Arnold Palmer Invitational He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. Four podium finishes this season, three of which were runners-up, prove his game can travel to any type of golf course. Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up. Dont let a MC at the Byron Nelson (or the Masters) fool you. Finding a big-hitter with a good approach game should give us a good opportunity to find a winner on this course. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Max Homa celebrates with his caddie Joe Greiner after winning the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. He has, however, found a way to grind out finishes in the majors in his career. He ranks second on the tour in SG:OTT and ninth in one-putt percentage. If you like storylines entering a. Tyrell Hatton ($8,100) - Tyrell Hatton has now gained strokes putting in nine straight events. To date, his performance in run-of-the-mill PGA TOUR events greatly outpaces his work in the majors. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? And yet over at oddschecker.com, a site that tracks both odds and which players are the most popular with gamblers, Champ is tied for the third-most popular bet. Hes played well in majors before with a runner-up at the 2019 Open, runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open, and fourth place at the 2017 U.S. Open. Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. In his two starts at major championships, Higgs has finished in the top 15. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. That means it's time to pick your optimal DraftKings fantasy golf lineup for the season's. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at - Golf The same can be said of a couple of players further down the board in Matt Fitzpatrick (+4500) andDaniel Berger (+4500). https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh, To-win: Daniel Berger, +5,000. Im not sure hes ready to get the job done on a major stage, but Robert MacIntyre is one of golfs up-and-comers who has been playing well of late. Finding a mix of top-tier golfers and low-priced sleepers is the key to daily fantasy golf. He is in top form and his game has reached an elite level in 2022, making him the player to beat at this year's PGA Championship. This one feels too easy. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. Question: How did you spend that, like how did you occupy the time? The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. readfullarticle Source: CBS Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. Those odds are long enough for me to take the bait. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. The No. Our panel of gambling experts,. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Because of that showing by Rory and his recent win at the Wells Fargo Championship, he comes into this event as the betting favorite at +1100. He won the PGA Championship in 2017 and tied for sixth in the event in 2018. This situation reminds me a little of everyone being off of Rory McIlroy before he took down the Wells Fargo. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions. As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA. You can bet all of them as winners, but some fit better into betting cards as top-10 finishers, sleepers or DFS value picks. Keegan Bradley at +10,000 and Cameron Tringale at +25,000. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. At least that's how I see it playing out. PGA: Thursday tee times | Best bets | ESPN+ streaming. He goes as his putter goes, but his irons and approach game will keep him in contention here. Southern Hills itself has changed plenty, with a renovation undertaken in that time. Below is a breakdown of several candidates to consider in this year's PGA Championship field. Bet with your head, not over it. Particularly when it comes to a major championship, the favorites to win always get the biggest look. Sleeper Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational. 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best Bets for Southern Hills Who looks ready to raise the Wanamaker? Sign up for an account to get into the action today. He won at Mayakoba and recorded two straight top-five place finishes in the early spring. Yeah, that came at Augusta National. In 2020, he finished second at the Scottish Open and in 2019, he finished second at the Open Championship. The 2022 PGA Championship field We've categorized all golfers that matter for the PGA Championship into favorites, contenders, sleepers, long shots, those that would need a miracle to. He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. Taking sleeper picks is. PGA Splits 101(great Twitter follow) used true "Strokes Gained" data from Data Golf, adjusted for field strength, and saw that Morikawa is the best ball-striker at the PGA Championship over the past 20 rounds. However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. These five players jump out as possible dark-horse candidates to make waves in Tulsa this weekend. Aside from digging into the data at the RickRunGood.com database and a couple of other models, I try to look for guys that have had past success at the particular course, value plays, and players that are trending in the right direction coming into an event. Like I said, its my little escape from all this., Sounds lovely. Sleeper pick: Justin Rose, +12,500. Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. No real weaknesses. Kerry Haigh, the PGA of America's chief championships officer, can be credited for the rise of the PGA Championship as it continues to climb the ranks of best majors of the season. Is Phil Mickelson playing the 2022 PGA Championship? With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Weather is very difficult to predict. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. Very, very little can be gleaned about this weeks event by looking into the time machine at the results from 2007. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Tiger Woods, however, will be in the field, and he will look to build upon his relative success in the Masters six weeks ago. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship DFS Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Championship picks. Its so hard to get close to the pins because the greens are not large, and theyre compartmentalized, Myers told Golf Digest. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. And that same group is sharing its 2023 Fantasy baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy baseball sleepers, breakouts and busts long before your competition. Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Sleepers: BMW Championship Picks - The Lines Wm Phx Open Final Round, Harold Varner III. Mike McClure has locked in his sleepers and PGA one and done golf picks this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill By CBS Sports Staff 15 mins ago 3 min read USATSI The.